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Saturday, May 15, 2010

Barbara Boxer Continues to Look Very Vulnerable in 2010 California U.S. Senate Race

Democrat U.S. Senate incumbent Barabara Boxer continues to look vulnerable. New Rasmussen polling shows her leading the three GOP U.S. Senate hopefuls, but not by much - particularly for a high-profile incumbent in a very blue state.

Boxer appears to have benefited slightly in recent weeks, probably because of the tough GOP Primary as Fiorina, DeVore, and Campbell beat each other up. But once Republicans settle on a candidate, and everything gets focused on Boxer this Fall, I think you'll see those numbers for change. Boxer does not get above 46% against any of the three, well below the 50% threshold that signals trouble for an incumbent senator.

Embattled Democratic incumbent Barbara Boxer remains in a virtual tie with Republican challenger Tom Campbell, but two other GOP hopefuls are still failing to gain traction in California’s race for the U.S. Senate.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in California shows Boxer with 42% support in a match-up with Campbell, a former congressman, who earns 41%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and 12% remain undecided.

These numbers have changed little since March and April.

But Boxer now posts a 45% to 38% lead over former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina. Given that match-up, four percent (4%) like another candidate, and 12% are undecided.

Conservative State Assemblyman Chuck DeVore trails Boxer 46% to 40%, with four percent (4%) opting for another candidate and 11% undecided.

In the match-ups against Fiorina and DeVore, Boxer is doing a bit better than she was a month ago. . . READ MORE
2010 U.S. Senate Polls and Projections Page


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