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Sunday, January 17, 2010

New PPP Poll in MA Has Republican Scott Brown Leading Democrat Martha Coakley 51%-46%

More good news for Scott Brown in Massachusetts - A new Public Policy Polling (PPP) Poll out tonight has Brown leading Democrat Martha Coakley by five points - 51%-46%. The one question mark is that PPP says Democrats are "starting to take more interest" in the election, which could mean that Coakley will strengthen as election day arrives. We'll see. But for Brown to be ahead by five only 36 hours before voting begin is great news!

Scott Brown leads Martha Coakley 51-46 in our final Massachusetts Senate poll, an advantage that is within the margin of error for the poll.

Over the last week Brown has continued his dominance with independents and increased his ability to win over Obama voters as Coakley's favorability numbers have declined into negative territory. At the same time Democratic leaning voters have started to take more interest in the election, a trend that if it continues in the final 36 hours of the campaign could put her over the finish line.

Here's what we found:

-Brown is up 64-32 with independents and is winning 20% of the vote from people who supported Barack Obama in 2008 while Coakley is getting just 4% of the McCain vote.

-Brown's voters continue to be much more enthusiastic than Coakley's. 80% of his say they're 'very excited' about voting Tuesday while only 60% of hers express that sentiment. But the likely electorate now reports having voted for Barack Obama by 19 points, up from 16 a week ago, and a much smaller drop from his 26 point victory in the state than was seen in Virginia. . . . MORE


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