Politico is reporting that the Martha Coakley campaign is already putting out a memo that blames National Democrats for the weakness of her campaign. That would seem to be a sign that they are not expecting to do very well tonight. It's just anecdotal evidence, but why would they be putting out such a memo if they think they are going to win tonight?
The Coakley campaign is bridling at finger-pointing from the White House and Washington Democrats, and an outside adviser to the campaign has provided to POLITICO a memo aimed at rebutting the charge that Coakley failed and making the case that national Democrats failed her.
The adviser, who made the case to my colleague Jonathan Martin on the condition of anonymity in response, he said, to "the current leaking coming out of the White House and the DNC that is chalking all of this up to a “bad candidate”.
The adviser, who cited internal polling numbers to make the case, e-mails that, "There’s more to the story than that. If Martha is guilty of taking the race for granted, so is the White House and the DNC."
The adviser pointed to internal polling to argue that Coakley held a wide -- 20 point -- lead on Dec. 19, and that the damage she took between that survey and a Jan. 5 Rasmussen poll putting the race at 9 points came from the national scene: The Senate vote on health care, with the controversy over Ben Nelson's deal for Nebraska, and the Christmas Day bombing. . . . . MORE