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Saturday, November 21, 2009

Larry Sabato Handicaps the 2010 U.S. Senate Races; Looks Ahead to 2012 and 2014 Races - Charts

University of Virginia's political science guru Larry Sabato has done an extensive analysis of the 2010 Senate races, and he believes Republicans could gain up to seven or eight seats if it turns out to be a really strong year for the GOP. But it would take eleven takeaways by the GOP for them to regain control of the U.S. Senate, something Sabato does not really believe to be possible. Here is his chart rating the 2010 Senate races at this point:

Sabato has also looked ahead at the 2012 and 2014 U.S. Senate races, and has made a helpful chart showing those races, and the margin by which the incumbent won in their last race:

You can ge the full analysis by Sabato at Rasmussen Reports.

3 comments:

Nelsa November 21, 2009 at 6:39 PM  

I do not always agree with Sabato but I do respect him very much. This analysis will be very useful during the 2010 elections.

I noticed that he commented on the Florida Senate race between Marco Rubio and Crist and said that he thought former Florida Gov Jeb Bush would endorse Marco Rubio...I agree with him and I also think that Palin will endorse Rubio in Florida if she is asked to do so...

Jim Getten November 22, 2009 at 7:29 AM  

Great blog. Palin will play a major role in many of these battles. I can't wait to look at the sheet again in August.

Thanks Larry!

Brian November 22, 2009 at 8:20 AM  

Jim,
Thanks for stopping by!

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