Monday, February 4, 2008

Morris Believes McCain Nomination Very Bad News for Democrats

Dick Morris says Super Tuesday will reveal that the GOP Nomination race is "all but over." He feels McCain will go on to gain the nomination, which he believes is "very bad news for the Democrats":

The Republican primaries are all but over. Of the 10 states with decent poll data, John McCain has leads in eight, with Mitt Romney ahead only in his native Massachusetts and Mike Huckabee leading in Georgia. Most GOP states award delegates on a winner-take-all basis, so McCain's lead in delegates coming out of Tuesday should be insurmountable.

McCain's likely nomination is, of course, very bad news for the Democrats. He is, by far, the candidate most likely to beat Hillary in November. The very immigration bill that made him anathema to many conservatives can help him attract significant Hispanic support, while the bitterness of the Clinton-Obama contest is likely to drive many anti-Hillary Independents and Democrats to support the moderate maverick from Arizona. (One thinks of how anger at Lyndon Johnson drove many liberals to vote for Nixon against Humphrey in 1968).

McCain should have little real difficulty in consolidating the Republican and conservative ranks behind him - especially if his adversary is Hillary Clinton. Animosity to the New York senator may be just the elixir McCain needs to unite his party.

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2010 U.S. Senate Races "Polls and Projections" Table

2012 Possible GOP Contenders: Power Rankings

Here is a list of possible GOP Contenders for the 2012 Republican Nomination for President. They are listed in “Power Ranked” order based on our subjective analysis of how strong the candidates would be should they decide to seek the nomination. The rankings are NOT based on how strong the candidates would be in winning in a General Election against President Obama. The rankings will be adjusted day to day as events and information warrant. Rankings do not indicate an endorsement or preference for a particular candidate. Candidates included are those who have either indicated they may run, or individuals for which there is great speculation they will run.

#1

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Gov. Sarah Palin - Alaska
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#4

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Gov. Mike Huckabee - Arkansas
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#7

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Mayor Rudy Giuliani - New York
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#2

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Gov. Mitt Romney - Massachusetts
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#5

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Speaker Newt Gingrich - Georgia
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#3

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Gov. Bobby Jindal - Louisiana

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#6

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Gov. Tim Pawlenty - Minnesota
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